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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.28+2.40vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.51+3.20vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.31+2.82vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.49+4.14vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.62-0.19vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+1.99vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-1.68vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.08-1.66vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.61-1.19vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.31-1.47vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.94-4.37vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.75-0.89vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.15-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4College of Charleston2.280.2%1st Place
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5.2University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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5.82North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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8.14Eckerd College0.490.0%1st Place
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4.81Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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5.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
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6.34Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.81Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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8.53Rollins College0.310.0%1st Place
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6.63Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
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11.11The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.9Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 24.0% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Peter Miller | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 6.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 13.2% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Langdon Wallace | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 5.6% |
| Henry Haddon | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Brown | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| Caleb Kinnear | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 9.7% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Camden Hom | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 17.5% | 47.4% |
| Advik Eswaran | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 21.3% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.