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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.51+4.18vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.31+3.81vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.62+1.96vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+1.49vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+2.98vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.61+1.67vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.08-0.71vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.28-4.73vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.31-0.37vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.94-3.26vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.15-1.41vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.75-0.84vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College0.49-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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5.81North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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4.96Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.49St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.1%1st Place
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7.67Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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6.29Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.27College of Charleston2.280.2%1st Place
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8.63Rollins College0.310.0%1st Place
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6.74Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
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9.59Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.16The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.21Eckerd College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Henry Haddon | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Langdon Wallace | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 5.3% |
| Tyler Brown | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 4.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Dillon Garcia | 24.8% | 20.7% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Kinnear | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 10.3% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Advik Eswaran | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 17.6% |
| Camden Hom | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 16.4% | 49.0% |
| Peter Miller | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.