Race 1B

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Eleanor Conroy 4.3% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 6.3% 8.0% 9.7% 14.9% 15.9% 13.0% 7.4% 2.5%
Amanda Taselaar 11.2% 13.2% 12.6% 12.5% 11.3% 12.4% 8.6% 8.6% 5.6% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Jennifer Borshoff 13.7% 13.7% 12.5% 13.4% 11.9% 9.9% 10.4% 7.9% 4.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 16.7% 15.6% 14.3% 13.8% 12.3% 9.1% 7.3% 5.8% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Liana Folger 9.9% 10.2% 10.5% 10.0% 12.6% 11.4% 11.1% 9.3% 8.1% 4.9% 1.8% 0.2%
Rachel Austin 9.8% 9.2% 7.8% 10.6% 10.7% 10.5% 13.3% 10.6% 9.8% 5.6% 1.9% 0.2%
Paige Conlin 6.4% 5.5% 7.0% 7.8% 6.5% 9.7% 9.8% 12.6% 13.9% 13.1% 5.6% 2.1%
Irene Jacqz 10.8% 8.6% 10.7% 10.8% 10.1% 10.1% 11.3% 11.5% 8.2% 5.2% 2.3% 0.4%
Mary Hamilton 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 3.1% 3.5% 5.1% 10.3% 18.4% 27.5% 25.5%
Marissa Lihan 14.3% 14.1% 14.6% 10.2% 13.1% 12.0% 9.6% 5.3% 4.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Sarah Gross 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.6% 1.8% 1.9% 2.3% 3.8% 5.8% 11.9% 25.0% 43.8%
Maggy Ashton 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.2% 1.9% 3.1% 4.6% 9.3% 20.6% 26.8% 24.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.