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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.31+4.75vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.61+5.84vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.51+2.24vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+1.42vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.62-0.19vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.15+3.68vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.49+0.95vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+0.05vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.28-5.62vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.75+0.99vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.94-4.36vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.08-5.45vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.31-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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7.84Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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5.24University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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5.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
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4.81Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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9.68Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.95Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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3.38College of Charleston2.280.2%1st Place
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10.99The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.64Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
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6.55Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.71Rollins College0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Brown | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Henry Haddon | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% |
| Cole Schweda | 13.9% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 21.5% | 19.8% |
| Peter Miller | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 6.0% |
| Dillon Garcia | 24.9% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Camden Hom | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 16.8% | 47.4% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Caleb Kinnear | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.