← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+4.41vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.62+2.92vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University1.08+3.43vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.31+1.77vs Predicted
-
5Hampton University0.61+2.60vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.28-2.69vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.51-1.86vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University0.94-1.23vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College0.49-0.84vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-2.00vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University-0.15-1.40vs Predicted
-
12The Citadel-0.75-0.87vs Predicted
-
13Rollins College0.31-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.41St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
-
4.92Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
-
6.43Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
-
5.77North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
-
7.6Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
-
3.31College of Charleston2.280.3%1st Place
-
5.14University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
-
6.77Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
-
8.16Eckerd College0.490.0%1st Place
-
8.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
-
9.6Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
-
11.13The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
-
8.76Rollins College0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Haddon | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Cole Schweda | 12.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Usher | 8.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Brown | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 4.3% |
| Dillon Garcia | 26.1% | 20.5% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Peter Miller | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 6.6% |
| Langdon Wallace | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 6.7% |
| Advik Eswaran | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 18.1% |
| Camden Hom | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 48.8% |
| Caleb Kinnear | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.