Race 11A

charleston-fall-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cole Schweda 12.0% 13.1% 13.0% 11.7% 11.0% 10.9% 9.2% 6.9% 5.4% 4.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.4%
Dillon Garcia 24.3% 20.5% 17.4% 11.6% 10.5% 6.8% 3.9% 2.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Usher 7.7% 9.8% 11.4% 8.6% 11.3% 9.5% 10.7% 10.3% 8.4% 5.8% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6%
Mitchell Hnatt 6.0% 7.3% 6.0% 9.2% 8.7% 9.1% 10.2% 10.5% 9.2% 8.7% 7.7% 5.9% 1.5%
Tyler Brown 4.8% 5.5% 5.7% 6.9% 7.7% 7.6% 7.9% 8.8% 10.5% 11.1% 11.6% 8.5% 3.4%
Peter Miller 4.4% 4.4% 5.9% 4.8% 5.7% 8.9% 7.8% 8.7% 10.4% 12.4% 11.9% 9.6% 5.1%
Henry Haddon 11.1% 11.9% 10.4% 9.6% 11.0% 10.6% 9.3% 8.7% 6.5% 6.3% 2.4% 1.8% 0.4%
Langdon Wallace 4.3% 5.5% 4.4% 5.7% 5.8% 6.6% 7.1% 9.4% 12.5% 11.7% 12.1% 10.9% 4.0%
Joshua Bendura 8.0% 6.3% 8.6% 9.7% 9.4% 9.1% 10.5% 9.5% 8.9% 7.4% 8.0% 3.5% 1.1%
Zachariah Schemel 12.9% 10.6% 11.8% 12.5% 11.2% 9.4% 9.4% 7.6% 5.0% 5.0% 2.3% 1.8% 0.5%
Jack Adderley 2.0% 1.9% 2.2% 4.0% 4.0% 5.0% 5.1% 6.4% 8.3% 10.8% 15.5% 17.6% 17.2%
Camden Hom 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 2.6% 1.7% 1.7% 3.4% 4.9% 5.3% 5.9% 7.9% 18.0% 45.7%
Advik Eswaran 1.5% 2.4% 2.1% 3.1% 2.0% 4.8% 5.5% 6.1% 8.2% 10.0% 14.0% 20.2% 20.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.