Race 12A

charleston-fall-interconference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Dillon Garcia 25.0% 19.4% 15.1% 14.3% 10.2% 5.3% 5.6% 2.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Usher 8.8% 8.7% 11.0% 10.4% 10.7% 11.1% 8.5% 9.9% 8.1% 6.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.9%
Cole Schweda 11.2% 14.0% 13.2% 10.2% 11.5% 10.8% 10.2% 7.1% 5.0% 4.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Zachariah Schemel 11.6% 12.0% 10.5% 13.0% 10.4% 9.7% 8.2% 8.5% 7.3% 4.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
Joshua Bendura 8.1% 8.0% 9.5% 8.6% 10.1% 8.2% 10.6% 9.6% 9.3% 7.5% 6.0% 3.6% 0.9%
Jack Adderley 1.8% 2.3% 2.9% 3.2% 2.8% 3.9% 5.8% 7.0% 7.2% 11.2% 14.0% 20.3% 17.6%
Mitchell Hnatt 7.4% 8.3% 7.5% 7.1% 7.8% 9.9% 9.5% 8.9% 10.9% 9.6% 6.4% 5.2% 1.5%
Henry Haddon 10.5% 10.8% 11.8% 8.9% 11.4% 11.4% 10.2% 9.1% 5.9% 5.5% 2.4% 1.8% 0.3%
Langdon Wallace 3.6% 4.6% 4.7% 5.7% 5.7% 6.6% 8.5% 9.8% 10.8% 10.4% 13.0% 11.1% 5.5%
Tyler Brown 6.2% 3.8% 4.9% 6.2% 7.9% 8.8% 7.8% 8.9% 10.5% 10.3% 11.2% 8.9% 4.6%
Peter Miller 3.4% 4.7% 4.7% 8.2% 6.6% 7.5% 7.8% 8.8% 12.3% 11.7% 10.6% 9.9% 3.8%
Advik Eswaran 1.3% 2.2% 2.8% 3.3% 3.0% 4.8% 4.9% 6.8% 5.6% 10.9% 15.9% 18.9% 19.6%
Camden Hom 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 2.4% 3.5% 5.4% 7.2% 11.3% 16.9% 44.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.