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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+5.30vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.28+1.33vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.49+5.04vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.62+0.85vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.51+0.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+1.89vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.94-0.40vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42-2.64vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.15+0.65vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.61-2.39vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.31-5.50vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.75-1.02vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.17-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.33College of Charleston2.280.2%1st Place
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8.04Eckerd College0.490.0%1st Place
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4.85Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.05University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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6.6Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
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5.36St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
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9.65Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.61Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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5.5North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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10.98The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.83Rollins College-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Dillon Garcia | 24.3% | 21.1% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Cole Schweda | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Langdon Wallace | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 5.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Henry Haddon | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Advik Eswaran | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 19.3% |
| Tyler Brown | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Camden Hom | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 18.3% | 43.6% |
| Jack Adderley | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.