Race 1B

charleston-fall-interconference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Eliott Raison 23.3% 20.1% 16.6% 13.0% 9.6% 7.4% 4.6% 2.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Richardson 9.7% 12.0% 11.8% 10.3% 12.6% 11.4% 11.0% 7.7% 6.8% 4.0% 1.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Joseph Marynowski 9.4% 10.8% 11.5% 11.8% 10.1% 10.6% 10.9% 9.9% 7.3% 4.2% 3.0% 0.3% 0.2%
Hank Seum 13.2% 11.8% 12.2% 13.2% 10.9% 11.1% 8.7% 8.1% 5.6% 3.4% 1.5% 0.1% 0.2%
Ryan Brelage 7.7% 8.5% 8.4% 10.4% 9.3% 9.6% 11.8% 10.1% 8.8% 8.6% 4.5% 2.1% 0.2%
Calvin Marsh 5.6% 4.0% 6.0% 6.2% 7.8% 9.0% 8.8% 10.7% 12.8% 12.1% 9.8% 5.5% 1.7%
Milo Fleming 5.0% 3.8% 5.5% 5.2% 6.5% 6.6% 8.3% 9.7% 12.1% 13.5% 14.1% 7.2% 2.5%
Anderson Osinski 1.5% 2.8% 1.9% 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 4.0% 6.7% 8.2% 13.1% 16.1% 25.1% 11.2%
Efe Guder 13.3% 14.8% 12.4% 12.1% 11.0% 9.6% 9.3% 7.9% 5.0% 3.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Aston Atherton 7.6% 6.4% 7.8% 8.1% 10.0% 11.2% 9.4% 10.9% 9.3% 8.7% 6.4% 3.3% 0.9%
Bradlee Anderson 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 2.8% 3.5% 3.9% 4.1% 5.4% 9.9% 10.9% 16.1% 24.0% 14.7%
Ivet Bejar 2.1% 2.9% 3.4% 3.2% 4.6% 5.6% 7.4% 8.3% 9.1% 14.1% 17.4% 15.7% 6.2%
Johnny Leadingham 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 1.7% 2.2% 3.0% 3.7% 8.7% 14.9% 61.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.