Race 2B

charleston-fall-interconference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Joseph Marynowski 9.7% 10.4% 11.9% 11.0% 11.0% 10.4% 10.5% 10.1% 6.7% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Eliott Raison 23.7% 21.1% 15.4% 12.4% 9.7% 7.3% 5.0% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Hank Seum 11.9% 12.5% 13.4% 12.7% 11.2% 11.4% 9.7% 6.5% 5.2% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Bradlee Anderson 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 2.5% 4.1% 4.1% 6.8% 7.9% 10.2% 17.2% 24.8% 15.7%
Calvin Marsh 4.9% 4.7% 5.3% 8.0% 8.2% 8.1% 8.3% 9.6% 12.4% 11.6% 11.4% 5.9% 1.6%
Ryan Brelage 8.1% 8.0% 9.6% 8.0% 10.5% 11.2% 9.9% 10.8% 9.6% 7.0% 5.6% 1.5% 0.2%
Efe Guder 13.5% 15.9% 13.0% 11.1% 10.9% 11.0% 7.1% 8.2% 5.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Milo Fleming 3.9% 4.4% 4.8% 5.1% 7.1% 5.1% 10.8% 10.1% 12.7% 13.1% 12.1% 8.6% 2.2%
Ian Richardson 11.0% 10.1% 11.3% 12.3% 10.9% 10.6% 10.0% 7.5% 8.6% 5.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Aston Atherton 7.2% 7.7% 7.9% 7.6% 9.1% 11.0% 10.3% 10.0% 10.4% 8.3% 7.1% 2.6% 0.8%
Ivet Bejar 2.7% 1.8% 3.4% 5.9% 4.7% 5.9% 7.1% 9.3% 10.8% 15.9% 14.0% 13.3% 5.2%
Anderson Osinski 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 3.0% 3.0% 2.6% 5.9% 6.6% 6.0% 11.9% 17.3% 24.3% 14.6%
Johnny Leadingham 0.7% 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.5% 2.9% 4.6% 8.9% 16.8% 59.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.