Race 3B

charleston-fall-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Efe Guder 13.3% 13.0% 13.2% 12.3% 11.3% 12.1% 8.6% 6.8% 4.9% 2.6% 1.5% 0.1% 0.3%
Hank Seum 12.1% 12.3% 12.7% 13.8% 12.3% 9.8% 8.6% 8.4% 5.1% 2.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
Ryan Brelage 6.0% 8.2% 10.0% 9.3% 8.7% 9.5% 11.6% 10.4% 8.6% 9.2% 5.4% 2.7% 0.4%
Joseph Marynowski 10.2% 9.9% 10.4% 11.6% 11.9% 11.1% 9.5% 7.8% 8.0% 6.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.3%
Eliott Raison 24.4% 21.6% 15.0% 12.1% 9.1% 6.7% 5.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Calvin Marsh 4.9% 5.4% 5.7% 5.7% 7.3% 8.7% 7.5% 11.5% 10.3% 13.0% 10.9% 6.5% 2.6%
Anderson Osinski 2.5% 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% 3.7% 3.8% 4.7% 6.4% 8.1% 9.7% 15.0% 21.9% 18.2%
Aston Atherton 7.3% 7.9% 7.3% 7.1% 9.1% 10.7% 10.3% 11.5% 10.4% 9.2% 5.6% 2.9% 0.7%
Ian Richardson 10.5% 10.8% 11.8% 12.3% 11.1% 9.8% 9.0% 9.2% 7.0% 4.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Milo Fleming 4.2% 4.6% 4.1% 5.3% 5.8% 6.2% 10.4% 8.1% 11.8% 12.4% 11.5% 10.3% 5.3%
Ivet Bejar 2.6% 2.3% 3.9% 4.1% 5.7% 5.7% 6.9% 7.7% 11.5% 13.3% 15.0% 13.7% 7.6%
Nicholas Lorenzen 0.8% 1.2% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 2.9% 3.2% 4.3% 5.8% 6.0% 13.4% 19.3% 38.0%
Bradlee Anderson 1.2% 1.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.7% 3.0% 4.2% 4.7% 7.1% 10.4% 15.3% 20.0% 26.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.