Race 4B

charleston-fall-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Efe Guder 14.3% 12.7% 10.9% 14.2% 11.3% 10.6% 9.1% 7.1% 4.4% 3.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Hank Seum 12.5% 12.4% 12.4% 12.5% 12.5% 10.7% 8.1% 7.7% 6.5% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Ryan Brelage 5.7% 8.0% 10.3% 8.8% 9.7% 10.8% 10.2% 11.2% 9.6% 7.8% 4.8% 2.7% 0.4%
Eliott Raison 24.3% 19.5% 16.5% 11.8% 10.1% 7.9% 4.2% 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Aston Atherton 8.0% 7.3% 8.3% 8.4% 8.8% 8.5% 12.4% 9.0% 10.0% 9.9% 5.6% 3.1% 0.7%
Joseph Marynowski 9.6% 11.9% 11.1% 10.9% 10.3% 12.7% 9.1% 7.4% 7.3% 5.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
Anderson Osinski 2.1% 3.1% 1.6% 2.3% 3.1% 3.1% 5.8% 6.2% 7.2% 9.7% 15.3% 21.3% 19.2%
Ian Richardson 10.7% 11.2% 10.9% 11.2% 11.6% 10.6% 12.2% 9.1% 5.3% 3.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Calvin Marsh 4.8% 4.4% 6.1% 5.7% 6.1% 7.6% 9.6% 11.1% 12.2% 11.3% 10.5% 6.9% 3.7%
Bradlee Anderson 1.3% 1.5% 2.7% 2.2% 2.7% 3.0% 4.4% 4.4% 7.9% 10.9% 13.7% 21.5% 23.8%
Milo Fleming 3.9% 3.5% 4.4% 7.1% 7.4% 7.4% 6.3% 11.1% 13.4% 12.9% 11.3% 7.4% 3.9%
Ivet Bejar 1.9% 3.5% 2.9% 3.4% 4.8% 5.2% 6.1% 8.1% 8.6% 13.5% 16.1% 16.4% 9.5%
Nicholas Lorenzen 0.9% 1.0% 1.9% 1.5% 1.6% 1.9% 2.5% 4.5% 5.9% 9.0% 13.7% 17.6% 38.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.