Race 5B

charleston-fall-interconference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Eliott Raison 23.2% 19.4% 17.1% 11.9% 10.7% 8.3% 4.9% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Calvin Marsh 4.8% 4.5% 4.7% 6.8% 6.8% 7.9% 9.7% 11.1% 11.5% 12.4% 10.6% 6.7% 2.5%
Hank Seum 11.8% 13.5% 11.6% 13.1% 11.9% 10.1% 10.4% 6.6% 5.9% 3.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Ian Richardson 11.1% 10.0% 11.9% 12.7% 9.9% 10.9% 10.4% 8.0% 7.6% 4.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Joseph Marynowski 10.8% 10.9% 11.6% 9.8% 10.5% 11.8% 10.1% 8.4% 8.7% 3.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Efe Guder 13.5% 14.8% 12.2% 13.2% 12.7% 9.6% 6.5% 7.9% 4.8% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Ryan Brelage 8.7% 8.0% 8.7% 9.1% 8.3% 10.2% 12.4% 10.4% 8.3% 7.6% 5.7% 2.3% 0.3%
Bradlee Anderson 1.4% 1.7% 2.2% 2.4% 3.8% 2.3% 4.6% 4.0% 8.6% 10.2% 14.7% 20.6% 23.5%
Aston Atherton 6.6% 6.9% 7.3% 7.2% 9.0% 10.6% 10.1% 11.7% 9.2% 10.2% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2%
Anderson Osinski 1.6% 2.4% 2.6% 3.0% 2.3% 3.0% 4.4% 6.5% 7.3% 10.8% 16.1% 18.4% 21.6%
Milo Fleming 3.1% 4.5% 5.3% 6.3% 6.8% 6.3% 8.5% 12.2% 10.7% 12.4% 11.6% 9.0% 3.3%
Ivet Bejar 2.1% 2.4% 3.7% 3.2% 5.6% 6.2% 5.1% 8.6% 8.7% 13.8% 14.7% 14.7% 11.2%
Nicholas Lorenzen 1.3% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 2.8% 2.9% 3.1% 7.2% 7.9% 11.4% 22.5% 35.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.