Race 2B

maisa-women-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Amanda Taselaar 12.7% 10.5% 12.0% 12.7% 11.2% 13.5% 9.1% 9.7% 4.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Eleanor Conroy 4.3% 4.9% 6.4% 7.2% 6.8% 9.8% 10.4% 11.3% 14.7% 14.3% 8.0% 1.9%
Irene Jacqz 10.1% 8.1% 9.8% 10.9% 9.3% 10.6% 12.2% 11.1% 10.4% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4%
Liana Folger 9.6% 11.4% 10.7% 11.2% 12.2% 9.5% 12.4% 9.2% 7.6% 4.3% 1.7% 0.2%
Jennifer Borshoff 13.1% 14.9% 15.6% 10.7% 10.8% 11.1% 9.4% 6.4% 3.9% 3.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Rachel Austin 10.0% 8.0% 8.4% 12.4% 10.5% 10.7% 11.5% 11.4% 9.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Marissa Lihan 15.1% 16.7% 13.3% 11.7% 10.8% 10.3% 7.2% 6.9% 5.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Mary Hamilton 1.2% 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 2.7% 3.6% 2.8% 6.0% 8.2% 17.7% 25.5% 27.4%
Maggy Ashton 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 2.8% 1.6% 4.0% 5.7% 11.3% 19.4% 26.3% 24.0%
Paige Conlin 5.7% 5.9% 6.4% 6.3% 8.2% 8.7% 10.1% 12.6% 15.5% 11.9% 7.2% 1.5%
Catherine Shanahan 16.3% 15.9% 13.2% 12.7% 13.1% 9.0% 8.3% 6.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Sarah Gross 0.8% 1.4% 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 2.6% 3.6% 4.7% 13.3% 24.3% 44.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.