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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.70+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.16+0.79vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.06+0.15vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.17-0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Florida-0.86-0.48vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-2.55-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Jacksonville University0.7042.2%1st Place
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2.79University of South Florida0.1620.4%1st Place
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3.15Rollins College-0.0614.9%1st Place
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3.05Eckerd College-0.1716.4%1st Place
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4.52University of Florida-0.864.2%1st Place
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5.46Florida State University-2.551.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 42.2% | 27.6% | 18.1% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 20.4% | 23.8% | 24.5% | 20.6% | 8.6% | 1.9% |
| KA Hamner | 14.9% | 20.2% | 22.1% | 24.7% | 14.7% | 3.5% |
| Lily Schwartz | 16.4% | 20.4% | 23.4% | 24.3% | 12.6% | 2.9% |
| Ava Moring | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 15.4% | 44.9% | 20.7% |
| Olivia Figley | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 16.4% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.