Race 6B

charleston-fall-interconference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Eliott Raison 23.1% 21.5% 15.1% 12.3% 10.9% 6.7% 5.5% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ivet Bejar 2.7% 2.2% 3.2% 4.2% 6.1% 5.8% 5.5% 7.2% 11.1% 12.0% 15.4% 16.3% 8.3%
Joseph Marynowski 8.4% 9.9% 11.1% 13.4% 11.0% 9.6% 11.9% 9.1% 7.3% 4.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.3%
Hank Seum 13.5% 10.8% 13.3% 12.5% 8.9% 13.1% 9.8% 8.1% 5.1% 3.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Aston Atherton 7.2% 6.5% 8.7% 7.9% 10.0% 9.9% 9.0% 11.7% 10.7% 9.3% 5.5% 2.8% 0.8%
Ian Richardson 11.4% 9.5% 12.2% 10.6% 12.3% 12.5% 8.8% 7.7% 7.0% 4.2% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4%
Calvin Marsh 5.4% 6.4% 5.0% 5.5% 7.0% 7.6% 9.3% 11.4% 11.3% 11.1% 10.9% 6.2% 2.9%
Milo Fleming 3.9% 4.5% 4.3% 5.0% 5.7% 6.1% 9.0% 11.4% 11.5% 13.5% 11.6% 9.3% 4.2%
Bradlee Anderson 1.5% 1.7% 2.4% 2.6% 2.7% 3.8% 3.6% 3.4% 6.9% 9.8% 15.0% 22.5% 24.1%
Anderson Osinski 1.4% 2.4% 2.6% 2.4% 3.1% 3.4% 3.6% 6.0% 8.3% 11.7% 16.6% 16.8% 21.7%
Efe Guder 14.0% 15.5% 11.9% 13.3% 11.9% 10.2% 8.2% 7.6% 3.6% 2.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Ryan Brelage 6.3% 8.0% 8.7% 9.1% 8.2% 9.3% 12.8% 10.3% 9.8% 8.2% 5.4% 3.1% 0.8%
Nicholas Lorenzen 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.7% 9.9% 12.2% 19.8% 36.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.