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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University-0.04+7.89vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.34+3.23vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28+2.38vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.98+2.12vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.85+1.40vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.60+4.13vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.49+2.84vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.12-4.69vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-1.45vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.51-5.28vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.29-3.17vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.56-7.30vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.87-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
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5.23Clemson University1.340.1%1st Place
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5.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.1%1st Place
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6.12North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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6.4Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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10.13The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.84Eckerd College-0.490.0%1st Place
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3.31College of Charleston2.120.3%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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4.72Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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7.83Rollins College0.290.0%1st Place
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4.7University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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10.89Princeton University-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivet Bejar | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 8.9% |
| Ian Richardson | 9.5% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Brelage | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Aston Atherton | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 22.3% | 22.4% |
| Anderson Osinski | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 20.6% |
| Eliott Raison | 25.3% | 19.8% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Hank Seum | 15.2% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Milo Fleming | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Efe Guder | 13.2% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.