← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ivet Bejar 2.5% 2.8% 3.1% 3.1% 4.9% 6.1% 7.6% 8.4% 9.1% 13.7% 14.4% 15.4% 8.9%
Ian Richardson 9.5% 12.1% 9.4% 13.7% 11.0% 10.7% 9.7% 9.3% 6.5% 4.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.5%
Joseph Marynowski 9.0% 11.1% 11.7% 9.0% 12.0% 11.0% 10.0% 10.0% 7.4% 4.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Ryan Brelage 6.3% 9.5% 8.6% 8.9% 10.6% 10.0% 9.6% 11.1% 9.2% 8.5% 4.3% 2.6% 0.8%
Aston Atherton 7.2% 6.5% 8.6% 9.6% 6.9% 10.7% 10.5% 11.7% 9.7% 8.2% 5.8% 3.3% 1.3%
Bradlee Anderson 0.8% 2.3% 2.1% 2.7% 2.6% 3.9% 3.6% 4.3% 8.8% 9.5% 14.7% 22.3% 22.4%
Anderson Osinski 2.1% 2.8% 1.8% 2.0% 3.5% 4.5% 4.3% 5.5% 6.7% 10.8% 17.0% 18.4% 20.6%
Eliott Raison 25.3% 19.8% 13.7% 13.5% 11.5% 6.9% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Calvin Marsh 4.8% 5.3% 5.3% 5.7% 6.1% 7.4% 10.0% 9.9% 13.2% 10.6% 10.8% 8.1% 2.8%
Hank Seum 15.2% 11.3% 14.1% 11.2% 11.5% 8.5% 8.4% 7.8% 5.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Milo Fleming 3.3% 3.3% 5.9% 6.9% 6.7% 6.9% 8.7% 8.9% 12.5% 14.0% 10.6% 8.1% 4.2%
Efe Guder 13.2% 12.0% 14.1% 12.1% 11.1% 11.1% 9.6% 6.4% 5.2% 2.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Lorenzen 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.3% 2.7% 4.4% 5.0% 8.4% 13.2% 19.1% 38.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.