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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28+4.34vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.12+1.38vs Predicted
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3The Citadel-0.60+7.28vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.51+0.74vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.34+0.13vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.56-1.45vs Predicted
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7Hampton University-0.04+1.71vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.29-0.04vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.98-2.77vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.85-3.54vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-3.69vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.49-1.94vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.87-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.1%1st Place
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3.38College of Charleston2.120.2%1st Place
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10.28The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.74Jacksonville University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.13Clemson University1.340.1%1st Place
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4.55University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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8.71Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
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7.96Rollins College0.290.0%1st Place
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6.23North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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6.46Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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10.06Eckerd College-0.490.0%1st Place
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10.86Princeton University-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Marynowski | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Eliott Raison | 22.9% | 20.7% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 23.2% | 22.6% |
| Hank Seum | 12.1% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Richardson | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Efe Guder | 13.2% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ivet Bejar | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 7.8% |
| Milo Fleming | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Brelage | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Calvin Marsh | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Anderson Osinski | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 22.4% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 18.5% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.