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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hank Seum 13.5% 11.0% 12.7% 13.0% 11.5% 11.1% 8.9% 7.5% 5.8% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Ian Richardson 9.2% 12.0% 11.0% 11.9% 12.7% 10.6% 9.3% 8.7% 8.1% 3.8% 1.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Efe Guder 12.6% 14.3% 14.3% 11.2% 10.8% 12.6% 10.1% 5.2% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.0% 0.2%
Eliott Raison 23.2% 21.7% 16.7% 12.4% 8.7% 7.6% 4.6% 2.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Aston Atherton 7.1% 8.2% 9.5% 8.3% 8.8% 7.4% 10.8% 11.8% 9.9% 9.5% 5.4% 2.9% 0.4%
Calvin Marsh 4.9% 4.7% 5.5% 6.5% 8.1% 7.8% 9.1% 10.5% 12.5% 13.0% 8.8% 7.4% 1.2%
Ivet Bejar 3.5% 2.9% 2.9% 4.5% 5.6% 5.4% 5.6% 9.8% 10.8% 12.3% 19.1% 13.1% 4.5%
Ryan Brelage 7.7% 7.8% 9.0% 9.0% 8.2% 12.2% 10.8% 11.9% 9.6% 7.8% 4.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Joseph Marynowski 10.1% 10.6% 10.1% 11.3% 12.0% 10.1% 9.9% 9.0% 7.9% 5.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Milo Fleming 4.9% 3.7% 3.1% 6.6% 7.0% 5.6% 9.6% 10.4% 11.1% 13.6% 13.4% 7.3% 3.7%
Bradlee Anderson 1.6% 1.0% 1.2% 3.1% 2.9% 4.9% 4.6% 5.5% 7.7% 12.6% 16.8% 23.4% 14.7%
Anderson Osinski 1.2% 1.5% 3.2% 1.9% 2.7% 3.6% 5.2% 5.6% 7.3% 11.7% 16.9% 25.3% 13.9%
Johnny Leadingham 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.3% 1.0% 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 2.8% 3.9% 8.8% 16.4% 60.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.