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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+3.77vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.34+3.17vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.56+1.57vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.12-0.68vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.85+1.27vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+1.35vs Predicted
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7Hampton University-0.04+1.60vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.98-1.96vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28-3.66vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.29-2.14vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-0.60-1.08vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.49-2.09vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-1.64-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Jacksonville University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.17Clemson University1.340.1%1st Place
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4.57University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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3.32College of Charleston2.120.2%1st Place
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6.27Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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8.6Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
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6.04North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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5.34St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.1%1st Place
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7.86Rollins College0.290.0%1st Place
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9.92The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.91Eckerd College-0.490.0%1st Place
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11.87Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 13.5% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian Richardson | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Efe Guder | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Eliott Raison | 23.2% | 21.7% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Marsh | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 1.2% |
| Ivet Bejar | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 4.5% |
| Ryan Brelage | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Milo Fleming | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 23.4% | 14.7% |
| Anderson Osinski | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 25.3% | 13.9% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.