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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.12+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.56+2.59vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.51+1.74vs Predicted
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4Hampton University-0.04+4.79vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.98+1.02vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.34-0.90vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.85-0.70vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-0.66vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.29-1.07vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College-0.49-0.29vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28-5.88vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-1.64-0.18vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.60-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37College of Charleston2.120.2%1st Place
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4.59University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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4.74Jacksonville University1.510.1%1st Place
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8.79Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
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6.02North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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5.1Clemson University1.340.1%1st Place
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6.3Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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7.93Rollins College0.290.0%1st Place
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9.71Eckerd College-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.1%1st Place
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11.82Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
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10.17The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliott Raison | 24.7% | 18.7% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ivet Bejar | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 5.5% |
| Ryan Brelage | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ian Richardson | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Calvin Marsh | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Milo Fleming | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 2.7% |
| Anderson Osinski | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 18.9% | 21.9% | 12.4% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 8.5% | 17.2% | 59.1% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 24.8% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.