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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+3.74vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.85+4.45vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.98+3.09vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.56+0.57vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.29+2.72vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.34-0.94vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.12-3.65vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28-2.77vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-1.54vs Predicted
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10Hampton University-0.04-1.35vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.49-1.37vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-1.64-0.15vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.60-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Jacksonville University1.510.1%1st Place
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6.45Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.09North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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4.57University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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7.72Rollins College0.290.0%1st Place
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5.06Clemson University1.340.1%1st Place
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3.35College of Charleston2.120.2%1st Place
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5.23St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.1%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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8.65Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
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9.63Eckerd College-0.490.0%1st Place
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11.85Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
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10.18The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Brelage | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Efe Guder | 14.6% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Milo Fleming | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 2.2% |
| Ian Richardson | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eliott Raison | 23.9% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 9.6% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Ivet Bejar | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 5.9% |
| Anderson Osinski | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 22.3% | 11.0% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 15.9% | 60.7% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 25.9% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.