Race 13B

charleston-fall-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Eliott Raison 24.5% 20.4% 16.0% 13.2% 8.8% 8.1% 3.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Brelage 7.6% 7.3% 9.8% 9.9% 10.8% 11.7% 10.2% 10.9% 9.6% 6.2% 4.2% 1.6% 0.2%
Joseph Marynowski 8.8% 11.3% 10.8% 12.4% 11.9% 11.7% 11.9% 8.2% 6.3% 4.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Katherine Mason 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 4.0% 5.0% 5.1% 7.7% 8.0% 10.2% 15.6% 14.8% 15.6% 6.5%
Ivet Bejar 3.6% 2.9% 2.6% 5.4% 6.4% 5.3% 8.1% 9.3% 10.7% 13.4% 15.1% 13.3% 3.9%
Hank Seum 12.8% 15.8% 13.8% 11.1% 11.9% 11.4% 7.7% 6.0% 5.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Ian Richardson 11.3% 12.9% 11.3% 11.1% 11.4% 11.5% 8.9% 8.7% 6.6% 4.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Milo Fleming 3.4% 5.2% 5.1% 5.4% 6.3% 6.6% 9.5% 12.8% 11.9% 12.1% 12.0% 7.8% 1.9%
Aston Atherton 7.2% 5.9% 9.2% 7.8% 9.3% 10.1% 11.7% 11.2% 11.6% 7.9% 5.6% 2.2% 0.3%
Efe Guder 14.9% 12.3% 14.1% 14.0% 11.1% 9.0% 9.0% 6.9% 4.4% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Anderson Osinski 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 3.3% 3.5% 5.4% 4.9% 6.2% 10.7% 12.9% 17.2% 20.2% 10.5%
Johnny Leadingham 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 3.7% 6.3% 7.4% 14.7% 59.9%
Bradlee Anderson 1.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.6% 2.7% 2.7% 5.0% 6.7% 8.0% 11.1% 17.7% 22.9% 16.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.