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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.72+7.48vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.10+4.86vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.12+8.41vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.77+4.29vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.10+6.28vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+4.24vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.87+1.11vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.62+5.37vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.01+2.75vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.94-2.49vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.40-0.90vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-1.51vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.47-2.98vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-1.82vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.25-4.31vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.75-7.65vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.74-4.05vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.64-9.04vs Predicted
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19Boston University1.60-5.35vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont1.22-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.86College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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11.41Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.29Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.28University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
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8.11Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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13.37Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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11.75Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.51Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.1Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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12.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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10.69Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Naval Academy2.750.1%1st Place
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12.95Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.96Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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13.65Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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15.32University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Foley | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Robby Meek | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Nathan Jensen | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Keeves | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% |
| Tyler Lamm | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Porter Bell | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 13.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.