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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.75+7.32vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.10+4.80vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.94+4.66vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.77+4.25vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.62+8.46vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+6.33vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+3.53vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.25+2.45vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.64-0.26vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.01+1.90vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.40-0.91vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10-0.38vs Predicted
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13Florida State University2.12-1.27vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.60-0.29vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.47-5.36vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.72-7.50vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.87-9.37vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-7.64vs Predicted
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19Tufts University1.74-6.01vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont1.22-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32U. S. Naval Academy2.750.1%1st Place
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6.8College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.66Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.25Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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13.46Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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12.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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10.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
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10.45Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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8.74Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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11.9Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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10.09Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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11.73Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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13.71Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.0%1st Place
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12.99Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.29University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Noah Zittrer | 11.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 10.9% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Lamm | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Thress | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Peter Foley | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% |
| Porter Bell | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 15.3% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Robby Meek | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Jensen | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.