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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.70+1.08vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.16+0.72vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.06+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Florida-0.86+0.52vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.17-1.88vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-2.55-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Jacksonville University0.7037.9%1st Place
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2.72University of South Florida0.1622.7%1st Place
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3.06Rollins College-0.0616.2%1st Place
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4.52University of Florida-0.865.1%1st Place
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3.12Eckerd College-0.1716.8%1st Place
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5.5Florida State University-2.551.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 37.9% | 30.7% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 22.7% | 24.1% | 22.9% | 20.4% | 8.6% | 1.4% |
| KA Hamner | 16.2% | 18.9% | 25.4% | 23.9% | 13.6% | 1.9% |
| Ava Moring | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 44.1% | 21.7% |
| Lily Schwartz | 16.8% | 18.6% | 20.8% | 26.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% |
| Olivia Figley | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 16.6% | 72.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.