Race 3B

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Eleanor Conroy 4.5% 6.1% 4.8% 6.7% 6.2% 8.6% 11.3% 13.4% 16.2% 13.2% 6.4% 2.6%
Amanda Taselaar 11.7% 13.1% 11.7% 11.7% 12.7% 11.8% 9.5% 7.2% 6.6% 3.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Liana Folger 10.4% 9.2% 11.3% 9.7% 10.7% 11.4% 12.0% 10.9% 8.0% 4.9% 1.1% 0.4%
Rachel Austin 8.3% 9.4% 9.6% 11.3% 11.2% 11.6% 10.1% 10.2% 10.5% 5.1% 2.4% 0.3%
Paige Conlin 4.6% 6.3% 5.6% 8.1% 8.5% 8.7% 9.7% 13.2% 14.0% 11.7% 7.9% 1.7%
Catherine Shanahan 17.1% 15.9% 14.4% 14.1% 10.2% 9.6% 8.4% 6.2% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 14.7% 14.0% 13.6% 12.0% 12.7% 9.5% 10.0% 6.7% 4.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.3%
Marissa Lihan 16.5% 14.2% 13.3% 10.7% 12.3% 9.7% 9.9% 6.5% 4.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Sarah Gross 0.5% 1.3% 0.8% 1.4% 1.0% 1.7% 3.3% 3.7% 6.3% 14.0% 28.2% 37.8%
Mary Hamilton 0.9% 1.8% 2.9% 2.0% 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 5.1% 9.0% 17.8% 26.6% 26.9%
Maggy Ashton 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 1.0% 2.2% 3.7% 3.1% 5.3% 7.7% 20.4% 23.2% 29.3%
Irene Jacqz 9.4% 7.0% 11.0% 11.3% 10.5% 11.2% 10.0% 11.6% 10.2% 4.9% 2.5% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.