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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+9.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.64+6.86vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.94+4.75vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.77+4.26vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+5.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+6.30vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.72+1.82vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.87-0.31vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.10+2.27vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.10-3.18vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.74+2.12vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.25-1.08vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.60+1.03vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.75-5.70vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.47-5.36vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.40-6.03vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.22-1.91vs Predicted
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18Florida State University2.12-6.65vs Predicted
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19Fordham University2.01-7.24vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College1.62-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
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8.86Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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7.75Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.26Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.0%1st Place
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12.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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8.82Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.69Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.27University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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6.82College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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13.12Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.92Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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14.03Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy2.750.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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9.97Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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15.09University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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11.35Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.76Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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13.69Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ulmer | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Tyler Lamm | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Jensen | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Robby Meek | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 8.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Keeves | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 16.5% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 23.6% |
| Peter Foley | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.