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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+6.52vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.74+11.04vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.77+5.44vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.75+4.33vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.47+4.55vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.22+9.32vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.10+0.15vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+4.00vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.64-0.26vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.40+0.03vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.87-3.05vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.62+1.78vs Predicted
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13Florida State University2.12-1.33vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.01-2.21vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-4.72vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.72-7.49vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.25-6.51vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-7.75vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island2.10-7.64vs Predicted
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20Boston University1.60-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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13.04Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.44Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Naval Academy2.750.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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15.32University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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7.15College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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12.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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8.74Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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10.03Roger Williams University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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13.78Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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11.67Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.79Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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10.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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8.51Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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10.49Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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10.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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13.8Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Keeves | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 27.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
| Tyler Lamm | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Robby Meek | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 13.8% |
| Peter Foley | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| Lucas Thress | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
| Nathan Jensen | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Porter Bell | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.