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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.77+7.27vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.94+5.55vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+7.32vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.10+2.92vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.87+2.81vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.72+2.57vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.25+4.04vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.40+1.74vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.64-0.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.75-1.62vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-0.67vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.74+1.31vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-1.25vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.01-2.16vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.47-5.40vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.62-2.47vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-4.98vs Predicted
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18Florida State University2.12-6.59vs Predicted
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19Boston University1.60-5.44vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont1.22-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.27Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.55Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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6.92College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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11.04Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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9.74Roger Williams University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.74Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Naval Academy2.750.1%1st Place
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10.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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13.31Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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11.84Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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13.53Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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12.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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11.41Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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13.56Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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15.29University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Pinckney | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Robby Meek | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Lamm | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Jensen | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Oliver Keeves | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| Lucas Thress | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 14.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| Peter Foley | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Porter Bell | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.