← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+9.12vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.72+6.48vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.77+5.44vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.74+9.07vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.75+3.38vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+4.35vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.10+4.74vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.64+0.66vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University2.12+2.16vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.400.00vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.10-4.04vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College1.62+1.76vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University2.01-0.81vs Predicted
-
14Boston College2.25-3.36vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania2.47-5.38vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-3.84vs Predicted
-
17Harvard University2.87-9.33vs Predicted
-
18Tulane University2.94-10.33vs Predicted
-
19Boston University1.60-5.42vs Predicted
-
20University of Vermont1.22-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.48Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
8.44Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
-
13.07Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
-
8.38U. S. Naval Academy2.750.1%1st Place
-
10.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.0%1st Place
-
11.74University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
-
8.66Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
-
11.16Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
-
10.0Roger Williams University2.400.0%1st Place
-
6.96College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
-
13.76Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
-
12.19Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
-
10.64Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
-
9.62University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
12.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
-
7.67Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
-
7.67Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
13.58Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
15.36University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ulmer | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Keeves | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Jensen | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Tyler Lamm | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Peter Foley | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% |
| Noah Zittrer | 11.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 14.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% |
| Robby Meek | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Porter Bell | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.