← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.77+7.22vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+8.17vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.75+5.58vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.40+5.93vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University2.94+2.53vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont1.22+9.31vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.87+1.14vs Predicted
-
8Florida State University2.12+3.10vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.10+2.26vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.72-1.50vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-0.63vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.64-2.87vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University2.01-0.75vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston3.10-7.19vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-2.83vs Predicted
-
16Boston College2.25-5.30vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania2.47-7.56vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University1.74-4.88vs Predicted
-
19Boston University1.60-5.43vs Predicted
-
20Eckerd College1.62-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.22Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
-
10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.58U. S. Naval Academy2.750.1%1st Place
-
9.93Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
-
7.53Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
15.31University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
-
8.14Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
-
11.1Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
-
11.26University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
-
8.5Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
10.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
-
9.13Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
-
12.25Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
-
6.81College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
-
12.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
-
10.7Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
-
9.44University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
13.12Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
-
13.57Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
13.72Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 26.3% |
| Robby Meek | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Peter Foley | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Jensen | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Lamm | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| Noah Zittrer | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Oliver Keeves | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.9% |
| Porter Bell | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.9% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.