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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.72+7.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+10.25vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.10+4.00vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+6.27vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.87+2.82vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.75+2.43vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+3.48vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.62+5.41vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.10+2.28vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.47-0.32vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.77-2.64vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.94-4.28vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.64-3.78vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.40-4.07vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.25-4.33vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.60-2.29vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.01-5.33vs Predicted
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18Florida State University2.12-6.65vs Predicted
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19Tufts University1.74-5.99vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont1.22-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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12.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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7.0College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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10.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Naval Academy2.750.1%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
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13.41Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Pennsylvania2.470.0%1st Place
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8.36Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.72Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.22Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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9.93Roger Williams University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.67Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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13.71Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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11.67Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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11.35Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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13.01Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.28University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Robby Meek | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Lamm | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Porter Bell | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.3% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Peter Foley | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Oliver Keeves | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.