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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.75+7.32vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.10+9.38vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.74+10.08vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.64+4.87vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.40+4.94vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+4.34vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.47+2.94vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.87-0.37vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.94-1.57vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+2.22vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.10-4.00vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.62+1.78vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.60+1.01vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.01-2.17vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.72-6.48vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-5.80vs Predicted
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17Florida State University2.12-5.87vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.77-9.60vs Predicted
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19Boston College2.26-8.38vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont1.22-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32U. S. Naval Academy2.750.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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13.08Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.87Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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9.94Roger Williams University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Pennsylvania2.470.0%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.43Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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12.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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7.0College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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13.78Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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14.01Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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11.83Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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10.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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11.13Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.4Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.62Boston College2.260.0%1st Place
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15.36University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Oliver Keeves | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% |
| Tyler Lamm | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Jensen | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Robby Meek | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 13.9% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 15.8% |
| Lucas Thress | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Peter Foley | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| tanner krygsveld | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.