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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+5.78vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.72+6.46vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.64+6.07vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.12+7.30vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.87+2.82vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.01+5.93vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.40+3.26vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.75+0.17vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.74+4.00vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.26+0.68vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.94-3.37vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.77-3.54vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.47-3.00vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-3.75vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.10-3.64vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-5.84vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.60-3.41vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.62-4.30vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-6.93vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont1.22-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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9.07Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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11.3Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.93Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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10.26Roger Williams University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Naval Academy2.750.1%1st Place
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13.0Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.68Boston College2.260.0%1st Place
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7.63Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.46Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Pennsylvania2.470.0%1st Place
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10.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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13.59Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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13.7Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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12.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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15.29University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Lamm | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Peter Foley | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% |
| Robby Meek | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Keeves | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% |
| tanner krygsveld | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Jensen | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Porter Bell | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 14.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.9% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.