← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.74+12.00vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.77+6.25vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+9.32vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.87+3.87vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.47+4.63vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.10+5.50vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.01+5.16vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.40+1.80vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.72-0.62vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+0.20vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-0.61vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.26-1.11vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.64-3.75vs Predicted
-
14Tulane University2.94-6.49vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College1.62-1.49vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy2.75-7.65vs Predicted
-
17College of Charleston3.10-10.28vs Predicted
-
18University of Vermont1.22-2.75vs Predicted
-
19Boston University1.60-5.39vs Predicted
-
20Florida State University2.12-8.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
13.0Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
-
8.25Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
-
12.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
-
7.87Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
-
9.63University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
11.5University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
-
12.16Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
-
9.8Roger Williams University2.400.0%1st Place
-
8.38Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
10.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
-
10.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.0%1st Place
-
10.89Boston College2.260.0%1st Place
-
9.25Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
-
7.51Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
13.51Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
-
8.35U. S. Naval Academy2.750.1%1st Place
-
6.72College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
-
15.25University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
-
13.61Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
11.41Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Keeves | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% |
| Robby Meek | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Nathan Jensen | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| tanner krygsveld | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% |
| Tyler Lamm | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.9% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Noah Zittrer | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 25.9% |
| Porter Bell | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.4% |
| Peter Foley | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.