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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.64+10.36vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.35+6.26vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.13+6.34vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.73+2.62vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.66+6.32vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.37+2.21vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.90+3.59vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.20+0.70vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+1.22vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.75+0.94vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.44-3.04vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.32+1.12vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.41-0.21vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.01-4.35vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.12vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.27-2.94vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.64-10.18vs Predicted
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18Florida State University0.42-1.68vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-10.73vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont0.67-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.36Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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8.26College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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6.62Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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11.32Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.59Yale University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Naval Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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7.96Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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13.12Dartmouth College1.320.0%1st Place
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12.79Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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9.65Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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13.06Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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6.82Tulane University2.640.1%1st Place
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16.32Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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8.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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15.58University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vieira | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Cole Woodworth | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| James Brock | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Harrison Strom | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Foley | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| William Kulas | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Peter Busch | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Turner Ryon | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Max Teo | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% |
| Jack Roman | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% |
| Tate Christopher | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 34.4% |
| Landon Cormie | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Marco Welch | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.