Race 4B

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marissa Lihan 14.7% 13.6% 12.7% 13.0% 12.4% 11.1% 9.1% 6.3% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Liana Folger 9.8% 10.2% 10.7% 10.8% 11.6% 11.3% 11.7% 10.7% 7.6% 3.8% 1.8% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 17.1% 14.5% 15.4% 11.6% 14.0% 10.5% 7.2% 5.4% 2.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Paige Conlin 5.3% 4.4% 6.2% 7.8% 9.1% 9.8% 10.0% 13.5% 13.2% 12.4% 6.6% 1.7%
Jennifer Borshoff 13.8% 15.5% 12.9% 11.7% 10.7% 9.4% 9.8% 7.4% 5.3% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Eleanor Conroy 4.6% 5.5% 6.4% 6.3% 5.8% 9.2% 11.1% 13.6% 13.7% 15.0% 6.1% 2.7%
Rachel Austin 9.1% 10.6% 10.3% 9.2% 11.1% 10.3% 10.5% 11.3% 9.8% 5.3% 1.9% 0.6%
Amanda Taselaar 14.2% 13.1% 10.7% 12.9% 9.7% 11.7% 9.9% 6.7% 6.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Maggy Ashton 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.5% 2.5% 2.6% 3.6% 5.7% 10.0% 19.2% 27.2% 23.7%
Sarah Gross 0.6% 0.7% 1.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.9% 1.1% 3.7% 6.9% 11.7% 25.0% 42.6%
Irene Jacqz 8.3% 9.0% 9.7% 11.5% 9.9% 9.2% 13.7% 11.0% 9.5% 4.9% 3.1% 0.2%
Mary Hamilton 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 2.5% 1.5% 2.0% 2.3% 4.7% 9.9% 18.0% 26.3% 28.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.