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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.70+0.96vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College-0.17+0.85vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.16-0.41vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.06-1.13vs Predicted
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5Florida State University-2.55-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Jacksonville University0.7043.5%1st Place
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2.85Eckerd College-0.1717.7%1st Place
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2.59University of South Florida0.1620.9%1st Place
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2.87Rollins College-0.0615.8%1st Place
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4.74Florida State University-2.551.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 43.5% | 26.9% | 20.2% | 8.6% | 0.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 17.7% | 21.4% | 25.4% | 29.8% | 5.8% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 20.9% | 28.7% | 23.8% | 23.8% | 2.8% |
| KA Hamner | 15.8% | 21.2% | 27.4% | 31.4% | 4.2% |
| Olivia Figley | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 86.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.