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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.64+6.00vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+4.56vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.90+7.41vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.35+4.19vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.75+5.87vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+2.45vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.64+4.78vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.13+0.99vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.66+2.26vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.41+2.50vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.01-1.15vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.37-3.65vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.20-3.72vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-3.76vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.32-2.20vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.42+0.21vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.27-4.05vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-6.96vs Predicted
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19Boston College2.44-11.27vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont0.67-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0Tulane University2.640.1%1st Place
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6.56Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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10.41Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.19College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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8.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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11.78Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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11.26Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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12.5Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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9.85Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.35Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Naval Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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12.8Dartmouth College1.320.0%1st Place
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16.21Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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12.95Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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7.73Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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15.54University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Christopher | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| James Brock | 11.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Landon Cormie | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Vieira | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Cole Woodworth | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Max Teo | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
| Jack Roman | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Harrison Strom | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| William Kulas | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Turner Ryon | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 36.2% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 7.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Peter Busch | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Marco Welch | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.