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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+7.29vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.90+8.29vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.75+8.05vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.35+4.14vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.73+1.51vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.13+3.29vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.64+0.24vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.42+8.18vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.44-1.31vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.37-1.86vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-0.67vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.01-1.96vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.20-3.76vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.15vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.41-2.61vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.66-4.69vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.67-1.61vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.64-6.50vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College1.32-6.16vs Predicted
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20Fordham University1.27-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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10.29Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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8.14College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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6.51Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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7.24Tulane University2.640.1%1st Place
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16.18Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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7.69Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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8.14Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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10.04Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Naval Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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12.39Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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11.31Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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15.39University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
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11.5Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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12.84Dartmouth College1.320.0%1st Place
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13.31Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Cormie | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Foley | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| James Brock | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Tate Christopher | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 35.1% |
| Peter Busch | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| William Kulas | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Jack Roman | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Max Teo | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Marco Welch | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 22.6% |
| Jordan Vieira | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Turner Ryon | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.3% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.