← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.37+7.09vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+9.65vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.73+3.70vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.64+2.93vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+3.29vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.35+2.25vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania2.13+2.52vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+2.00vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.66+2.21vs Predicted
-
10Boston University1.41+2.44vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.44-3.10vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College1.32+1.07vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.27+0.42vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy2.20-5.20vs Predicted
-
15Florida State University0.42+1.12vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont0.67-0.69vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University2.01-7.44vs Predicted
-
18Yale University1.90-7.70vs Predicted
-
19University of Rhode Island1.75-8.13vs Predicted
-
20Eckerd College1.64-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.09Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
-
11.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
-
6.7Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
-
6.93Tulane University2.640.1%1st Place
-
8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
8.25College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
-
9.52University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
-
10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
-
11.21Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
-
12.44Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
-
7.9Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
-
13.07Dartmouth College1.320.0%1st Place
-
13.42Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
-
8.8U. S. Naval Academy2.200.1%1st Place
-
16.12Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
-
15.31University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
-
9.56Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
-
10.3Yale University1.900.0%1st Place
-
10.87University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
-
11.58Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| James Brock | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tate Christopher | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Cole Woodworth | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| William Kulas | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Max Teo | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% |
| Peter Busch | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Turner Ryon | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 16.1% | 34.3% |
| Marco Welch | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 24.3% |
| Jack Roman | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Audrey Foley | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Jordan Vieira | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.