← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.13+8.14vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College1.64+9.48vs Predicted
-
3Boston University1.41+9.50vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.73+2.59vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.44+2.72vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.35+2.23vs Predicted
-
7Yale University1.90+3.55vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.39vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-0.81vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.20-1.20vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.01-1.17vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.37-3.63vs Predicted
-
13Tulane University2.64-5.75vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University1.27-0.95vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island1.75-4.12vs Predicted
-
16Florida State University0.42+0.16vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College1.32-4.27vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-7.66vs Predicted
-
19Tufts University1.66-7.71vs Predicted
-
20University of Vermont0.67-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.14University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
-
11.48Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
-
12.5Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
-
6.59Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
-
7.72Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
-
8.23College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
-
10.55Yale University1.900.0%1st Place
-
11.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
-
8.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
8.8U. S. Naval Academy2.200.1%1st Place
-
9.83Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
-
8.37Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
-
7.25Tulane University2.640.1%1st Place
-
13.05Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
-
10.88University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
-
16.16Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
-
12.73Dartmouth College1.320.0%1st Place
-
10.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
-
11.29Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
-
15.53University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Woodworth | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Max Teo | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| James Brock | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Foley | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Landon Cormie | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Jack Roman | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Harrison Strom | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Tate Christopher | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 34.7% |
| Turner Ryon | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% |
| William Kulas | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Marco Welch | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.