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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+7.32vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+8.24vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.01+6.91vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.90+6.29vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.66+6.30vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.37+2.21vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.99vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.44-0.38vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.41+3.38vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.13-0.76vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.64-3.95vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.64-0.26vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.59-0.92vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.27-0.88vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.73-8.33vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.20-7.17vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.42-0.74vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.75-6.99vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont0.67-3.55vs Predicted
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20College of Charleston2.35-11.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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9.91Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.29Yale University1.900.0%1st Place
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11.3Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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7.62Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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12.38Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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7.05Tulane University2.640.1%1st Place
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11.74Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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12.08Dartmouth College1.590.0%1st Place
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13.12Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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6.67Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Naval Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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16.26Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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15.45University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
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8.3College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Cormie | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| William Kulas | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Jack Roman | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Foley | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Harrison Strom | 6.2% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Peter Busch | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Max Teo | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Cole Woodworth | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Tate Christopher | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Vieira | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Ben Sheppard | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% |
| James Brock | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 34.1% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Marco Welch | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 25.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.