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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.75+10.03vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.44+6.02vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.90+7.55vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+6.47vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.27+8.20vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.37+2.42vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.73-0.04vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.35+0.17vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.20-0.11vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.21-1.01vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.64-3.81vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.64-0.11vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.01-2.65vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.59-2.24vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.67+0.45vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-4.21vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.13-7.79vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-9.38vs Predicted
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19Boston University1.41-6.44vs Predicted
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20Florida State University0.42-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.03University of Rhode Island1.750.0%1st Place
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8.02Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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10.55Yale University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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13.2Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.42Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.96Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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8.17College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Naval Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.19Tulane University2.640.1%1st Place
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11.89Eckerd College1.640.0%1st Place
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10.35Roger Williams University2.010.0%1st Place
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11.76Dartmouth College1.590.0%1st Place
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15.45University of Vermont0.670.0%1st Place
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11.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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8.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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12.56Boston University1.410.0%1st Place
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16.49Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Grupenhoff | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Peter Busch | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Foley | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| William Kulas | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 7.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| James Brock | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Pearse Dowd | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Tate Christopher | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Jack Roman | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Ben Sheppard | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Marco Welch | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 27.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Cole Woodworth | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Landon Cormie | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Max Teo | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 5.4% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 16.6% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.