Race 5B

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Amanda Taselaar 12.0% 10.7% 10.2% 13.1% 13.1% 11.2% 11.3% 8.3% 5.5% 3.8% 0.6% 0.2%
Marissa Lihan 14.7% 14.6% 12.3% 12.7% 12.3% 11.1% 9.0% 7.9% 3.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Paige Conlin 6.1% 4.8% 6.3% 7.2% 8.2% 8.1% 10.5% 13.0% 16.2% 12.5% 5.5% 1.6%
Rachel Austin 7.8% 8.2% 11.4% 9.4% 11.8% 11.7% 10.5% 11.4% 9.1% 6.1% 2.4% 0.2%
Catherine Shanahan 16.5% 17.8% 13.2% 11.4% 12.1% 9.6% 7.5% 5.6% 4.2% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Eleanor Conroy 4.8% 5.6% 6.2% 6.7% 6.0% 8.5% 10.8% 12.3% 16.2% 13.2% 8.1% 1.6%
Jennifer Borshoff 15.7% 12.6% 13.8% 11.9% 10.5% 11.5% 10.2% 7.2% 3.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Liana Folger 10.9% 12.0% 10.3% 10.3% 9.9% 10.8% 10.1% 11.0% 9.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
Irene Jacqz 8.2% 9.7% 11.0% 12.9% 10.7% 11.2% 11.3% 11.4% 7.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Maggy Ashton 1.2% 1.5% 2.7% 1.9% 2.1% 2.4% 3.4% 4.5% 9.9% 20.4% 25.7% 24.3%
Sarah Gross 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 2.7% 2.9% 6.2% 12.6% 25.7% 43.3%
Mary Hamilton 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.8% 2.0% 2.4% 2.7% 4.5% 9.0% 17.9% 27.7% 27.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.