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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.70+0.96vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College-0.17+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.16-0.41vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.06-1.15vs Predicted
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5Florida State University-2.55-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Jacksonville University0.7043.0%1st Place
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2.86Eckerd College-0.1717.5%1st Place
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2.59University of South Florida0.1621.7%1st Place
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2.85Rollins College-0.0616.3%1st Place
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4.75Florida State University-2.551.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 43.0% | 28.7% | 18.6% | 8.8% | 0.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 17.5% | 20.7% | 25.1% | 31.9% | 4.8% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 21.7% | 26.2% | 26.5% | 22.8% | 2.9% |
| KA Hamner | 16.3% | 22.8% | 26.4% | 29.1% | 5.5% |
| Olivia Figley | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 86.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.