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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+4.52vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.85+3.93vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.74+6.62vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.67-0.18vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.42-0.72vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College0.82+3.56vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31+0.75vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.64+1.82vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.45+1.80vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.07+2.23vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.23-6.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14-3.75vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.07-1.03vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.39-0.76vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.52-7.91vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-3.24vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University1.850.1%1st Place
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9.62Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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3.82Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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4.28Brown University2.420.2%1st Place
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9.56Dartmouth College0.820.0%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.0%1st Place
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9.82Northeastern University0.640.0%1st Place
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10.8Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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12.23Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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4.99Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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11.97Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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13.24Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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12.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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15.36Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Yu | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| reece schwartz | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 19.9% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cam Spriggs | 16.4% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Oberbauer | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Caeden Nodurft | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Shea McGrath | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Caroline Straw | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 7.1% |
| Tristan McDonald | 13.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Vinogradov | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Robert Heath | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.5% |
| John O'Connell | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 21.6% | 14.3% |
| Crue Ziskind | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 11.3% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 15.9% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.