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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.42+3.33vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.85+3.90vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+5.26vs Predicted
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4Harvard University-0.07+8.18vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.23-0.19vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.74+3.85vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31+0.78vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.45+2.46vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.52-1.79vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-4.41vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.39+2.22vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.64-1.99vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.07-1.07vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.82-4.46vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.67-11.15vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-3.32vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Brown University2.420.2%1st Place
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5.9Roger Williams University1.850.1%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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12.18Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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4.81Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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9.85Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.0%1st Place
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10.46Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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7.21Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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13.22Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.01Northeastern University0.640.0%1st Place
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11.93Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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9.54Dartmouth College0.820.0%1st Place
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3.85Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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12.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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15.39Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spriggs | 16.4% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| reece schwartz | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Vinogradov | 4.5% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Straw | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 7.1% |
| Tristan McDonald | 14.6% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Crue Ziskind | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 24.1% | 14.4% |
| Caeden Nodurft | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Robert Heath | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.6% |
| Blake Oberbauer | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Peter Joslin | 20.4% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 10.2% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.