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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.23+3.78vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.64+7.93vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.42+1.40vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.52+3.07vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+3.20vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.74+3.83vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21+5.68vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.67-4.24vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College0.82+0.51vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31-2.36vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-5.26vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.07-0.22vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-0.39+0.19vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.85-7.89vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.45-4.40vs Predicted
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16Harvard University-0.07-3.62vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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9.93Northeastern University0.640.0%1st Place
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4.4Brown University2.420.2%1st Place
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7.07Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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9.83Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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3.76Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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9.51Dartmouth College0.820.0%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.0%1st Place
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5.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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11.78Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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13.19Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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6.11Roger Williams University1.850.1%1st Place
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10.6Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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12.38Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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15.42Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan McDonald | 14.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caeden Nodurft | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Cam Spriggs | 16.1% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Crue Ziskind | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Vinogradov | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 9.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 21.6% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Oberbauer | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andy Yu | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Heath | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 5.2% |
| John O'Connell | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 21.3% | 14.9% |
| reece schwartz | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Caroline Straw | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 7.9% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.