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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.67+2.65vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.42+2.31vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.52+4.04vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.23+0.93vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.85+0.91vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College0.82+3.55vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.64+3.00vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-2.42vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.45+1.76vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21+2.65vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31-3.20vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.07-0.18vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14-4.63vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.74-4.23vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.39-1.88vs Predicted
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16Harvard University-0.07-3.68vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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4.31Brown University2.420.2%1st Place
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7.04Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.93Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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5.91Roger Williams University1.850.1%1st Place
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9.55Dartmouth College0.820.0%1st Place
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10.0Northeastern University0.640.0%1st Place
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5.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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10.76Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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12.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.1%1st Place
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11.82Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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9.77Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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13.12Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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12.32Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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15.4Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 21.8% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cam Spriggs | 16.0% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Crue Ziskind | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tristan McDonald | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| reece schwartz | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Oberbauer | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Caeden Nodurft | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Andy Yu | 11.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 9.7% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Robert Heath | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 5.2% |
| David Vinogradov | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| John O'Connell | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 21.7% | 14.2% |
| Caroline Straw | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.1% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.