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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.67+2.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.42+2.31vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.23+1.87vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.85+2.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31+2.61vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.52+1.23vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+1.33vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College0.82+1.23vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21+3.88vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.45+0.56vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-5.23vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.64-2.02vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.07-0.65vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.39-0.77vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.74-5.31vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.07-4.11vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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4.31Brown University2.420.2%1st Place
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4.87Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University1.850.1%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.1%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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9.23Dartmouth College0.820.0%1st Place
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12.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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10.56Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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5.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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9.98Northeastern University0.640.0%1st Place
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12.35Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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13.23Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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9.69Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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11.89Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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15.36Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 20.5% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cam Spriggs | 15.2% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| reece schwartz | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Crue Ziskind | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Vinogradov | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Blake Oberbauer | 4.5% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 19.3% | 9.7% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Andy Yu | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caeden Nodurft | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Straw | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 10.0% |
| John O'Connell | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 21.9% | 14.4% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Robert Heath | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 6.2% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 15.2% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.