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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.42+3.35vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.67+1.71vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.85+3.01vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.45+6.59vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+0.56vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.23-0.97vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+1.34vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31-0.42vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.64+1.14vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.52-3.01vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.07+0.97vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.07+0.27vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.74-3.29vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.82-4.51vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-2.36vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.39-2.78vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Brown University2.420.2%1st Place
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3.71Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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6.01Roger Williams University1.850.1%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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5.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.03Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.1%1st Place
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10.14Northeastern University0.640.0%1st Place
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6.99Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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11.97Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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12.27Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.71Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.49Dartmouth College0.820.0%1st Place
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12.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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13.22Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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15.4Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spriggs | 17.5% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 20.5% | 19.3% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| reece schwartz | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Andy Yu | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Vinogradov | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caeden Nodurft | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Crue Ziskind | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Robert Heath | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 6.6% |
| Caroline Straw | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 7.3% |
| Peter Stewart | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Blake Oberbauer | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 10.2% |
| John O'Connell | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 15.0% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.