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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.42+3.60vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.67+1.90vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.23+2.06vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+1.64vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College0.82+4.50vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.52+1.20vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.85-0.95vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31-0.20vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.45+1.87vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.64+0.46vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21+2.11vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14-3.29vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-0.39+0.39vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.74-4.43vs Predicted
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15Harvard University-0.07-2.42vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.73-1.42vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.98vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.07-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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3.9Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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5.06Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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5.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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9.5Dartmouth College0.820.0%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.05Roger Williams University1.850.1%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.1%1st Place
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10.87Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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10.46Northeastern University0.640.0%1st Place
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13.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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13.39Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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9.57Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.58Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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14.58Fairfield University-0.730.0%1st Place
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16.02Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.96Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spriggs | 15.0% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 17.3% | 20.0% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 12.1% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Oberbauer | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Crue Ziskind | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| reece schwartz | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Caeden Nodurft | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 8.7% |
| David Vinogradov | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John O'Connell | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 11.0% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Straw | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 5.0% |
| Carter Devlin | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 19.6% | 20.4% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 47.6% |
| Robert Heath | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.