← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.80+3.73vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34+7.21vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+6.49vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.47-0.67vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40+0.81vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.36-2.37vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University-0.20+4.07vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.25-1.72vs Predicted
-
9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82+6.26vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University0.10+0.14vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College0.02-0.54vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University0.93-4.53vs Predicted
-
13Bentley University-0.86+0.07vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62+0.85vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College0.70-6.85vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University0.02-5.51vs Predicted
-
17Boston University0.29-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.73Brown University1.800.1%1st Place
-
9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.0%1st Place
-
9.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
-
3.33Boston College2.470.2%1st Place
-
5.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
-
3.63Roger Williams University2.360.2%1st Place
-
11.07Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
-
6.28Roger Williams University1.250.1%1st Place
-
15.26Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
-
10.14Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
-
10.46Dartmouth College0.020.0%1st Place
-
7.47Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
-
13.07Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
-
14.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
-
8.15Bowdoin College0.700.0%1st Place
-
10.49Northeastern University0.020.0%1st Place
-
9.55Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Gish | 13.5% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 4.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Cody Roe | 23.4% | 19.6% | 17.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Straden | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Moore | 19.4% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Dominik Moncur | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Dank | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 22.8% | 44.8% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Will Eggena | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Blake Vogel | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 10.8% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 12.3% | 25.2% | 35.9% |
| Noah Reischmann | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Hal Johnson | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Matteo Asscher | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.